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2024-12-13 05:52:01

Compared with small and medium-sized stocks, large-cap stocks have always been known for their stable operating performance and higher dividends. According to the analysis and research report of Guotai Junan's third quarterly report, the performance of all A-shares declined in the first three quarters. In the third quarter, the net profit growth rate of all A-share non-financial and non-petroleum and petrochemical listed companies (hereinafter referred to as "all A-shares and two non-shares") was -10.8% year-on-year, which was further enlarged compared with the second quarter of 2024, with a cumulative year-on-year growth rate of -8.0%, and negative growth for seven consecutive quarters. In terms of revenue, the cumulative growth rate of all A companies in the third quarter of 2024 was -1.6%, and it was -0.7% in the second quarter of 2024, with an enlarged decline.For the reason of the market style deduction, Zhao Xi, the investment director of Tuopai Fund, told the First Financial Reporter that since the macroeconomic data has not improved significantly, it is difficult for the macro economy to support the core assets, and most investors' sense of the whole economy is not high enough. Although the weighted blue chips and fund heavyweight stocks have valuation advantages, they lack rising logic. In this context, hot money and new retail investors have repeatedly speculated on the emerging science and technology around the policy.In this context, blue-chip stocks maintained their performance resilience. In the third quarter, the single-quarter growth rate of large-cap net profit represented by Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 increased significantly, with an increase of 8.75%. The performance of small and medium-sized stocks represented by CSI 500 and CSI 1000 dropped significantly, with growth rates of -14.7% and -9.4% in the third quarter respectively. In terms of industrial chain style, finance has been greatly restored, consumption has remained resilient, growth has continued to be under pressure, and the cycle growth rate has turned negative.


What are the reasons why more resilient blue chips are not popular in the market? Many people in the industry interviewed by reporters believe that the macro-economy has not yet recovered significantly, and the uncertainty of the pace of monetary and fiscal policies next year has led to the fact that although the weighted blue-chip stocks have a low valuation advantage, they have not obtained the unanimous expectation of funds.Micro-disk stocks hit a new high. When will the market style return to the fundamentals after the significant differentiation of large and small disks?


SDIC Securities Research Report pointed out that from the perspective of capital, this phenomenon (micro-disk stocks hit a record high) is naturally easy to explain: the core of the incremental fund group is retail hot money, and the pricing power is not in the hands of institutions.From 2024 to the end of the year, with the gradual development of the New Year's market, how will the market style be interpreted? Will there be a switch between large and small disks?Small-cap style clearly outperforms.

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